Banking crisis in the 21st century

Compared to 2008, when the financial crisis in the US began, investing and overall most business has moved to the online space and digital banking was created.

What is happening in the banking sector?

Silicon Vale Bank (SVB) suddenly found itself forced to sell its bond holdings to cover the cash withdrawals that customers began making after news that the bank was in trouble. In today's world, where information spreads in seconds, this is a serious problem for a financial institution, where panic can lead to sudden withdrawals of clients' funds, eventually leading to the bank's collapse in a worst-case scenario, as in the case of SVB. This situation can very easily occur with other banks as well, which is why many investors are concerned about contagion spreading in the industry. In fact, a few days later, there were also problems in Europe, specifically in the case of Credit Suisse. However, experts are of the opinion that we do not need to fear a situation similar to that which occurred in 2008 with the collapse of the Lehman Brothers bank.

 

Social networks: Problem or advantage?

Today, many market fluctuations have one significant thing in common. Have you noticed how social networks are influencing market events? All it takes is one post on Twitter, for example from Elon Musk, and positive sentiment or panic spreads throughout the industry within minutes. We have seen this effect with cryptocurrencies, and we are experiencing it daily in the stock market. Regardless of whether the information is true, investors often succumb to positive sentiment or panic and start to move their investments.

 

The digitalisation of the banking sector

Compared to 2008, when the financial crisis in the US began, investing and overall most business has moved to the online space and digital banking was created. The banking industry today is based on the online world and the money deposited can be managed, moved, withdrawn and paid in seconds. In the end, we see that virtual space also brings pitfalls.

 

Implications and developments

These days, we can observe the consequences of the problems mentioned so far. One of them is the falling share price of European banks. For example, Erste Group and Deutsche Bank have seen the largest decline during the month, in both cases by over 20 percent.*

 

banking1

Share performance of Erste Group Bank AG over the last 5 years. (Source: Investing)

 

banking2

Chart: Deutsche Bank AG NA O.N. share performance over the last 5 years. (Source: Investing)

 

 

What everyone is interested in, however, is what may happen over the next few months. At best, these events could be the exception and the problems could come under control as confidence returns to the markets. However, a worsening of financial conditions is more likely, as banks will start to avoid risk more. Small bank loans would thus become less available, which would harm economic activity. The worst-case scenario could be the arrival of a large-scale banking crisis. During such a crisis, economic activity would begin to decline, leading to a prolonged recession, but hopefully this possibility will remain only theoretical.[1]

 

 

Olivia Lacenova, analyst at Wonderinterest Trading Ltd.

 

 

* Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

 

[1] Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and current expectations, which may be inaccurate, or on the current economic environment, which may change. Such statements are not guarantees of future performance. They involve risks and other uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements

This text constitutes marketing communication. It is not any form of investment advice or investment research or an offer for any transactions in financial instrument. Its content does not take into consideration individual circumstances of the readers, their experience or financial situation. The past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future results.

🍪 Cookies

We use cookies to store, access and process personal data to give you the best online experience. By clicking Accept Cookies you consent to storing all cookies and ensure best website performance. You can modify cookie preferences or withdraw consent by clicking Cookie Settings. To find out more about cookies and purposes, read our Cookie Policy and Privacy Notice.

Cookies settings


Cookie Control

What are cookies?

Cookies are small text files that enable us, and our service provides to uniquely identify your browser or device. Cookies normally work by assigning a unique number to your device and are stored on your browser by the websites that you visit as well as third-party service providers for those website. By the term cookies other technologies as SDKs, pixels and local storage are to be considered.


If Enabled

We may recognize you as a customer which enables customized services, content and advertising, services effectiveness and device recognition for enhanced security
We may improve your experience based on your previous session
We can keep track of your preferences and personalize services
We can improve the performance of Website.


If Disabled

We won't be able to remember your previous sessions, that won't allow us to tailor the website according to your preferences
Some features might not be available and user experience reduced without cookies


Strictly necessary means that essential functions of the Website can not be provided without using them. Because these cookies are essential for the properly working and secure of Website features and services, you cannot opt-out of using these technologies. You can still block them within your browser, but it might cause the disfunction of basic website features.

  • Setting privacy preferences
  • Secure log in
  • Secure connection during the usage of services
  • Filling forms

Analytics and performance tracking technologies to analyze how you use the Website.

  • Most viewed pages
  • Interaction with content
  • Error analysis
  • Testing and Measuring various design effectivity

The Website may use third-party advertising and marketing technologies.

  • Promote our services on other platforms and websites
  • Measure the effectiveness of our campaigns

Risk warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 92.59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.